MLB Handicapping Trends: For gamblers familiar with football and basketball betting, Betting on Major League Baseball requires a different way of thinking. Baseball relies on a money line, rather than a point spread.
MLB handicappers closly study the money lines and starting pitchers when handicapping mlb free baseball picks. If a money line is quite high, some systems suggest to bet on the underdog no matter how bad they are . Other systems only permit a wager on a particular game if the money line falls within a certain range.
Of course, the outcome of MLB games is greatly impacted by the starting pitcher. Be wary of any system that works solely off the starting pitchers stats , though, as even the greatest starting pitchers will have a bad outing every few starts. The money li ne takes full account of the starting pitcher matchup, as well. Instead, a good handicapping system will delve deeper than the starting pitchers matchup. For example, does this starter struggle against one particular team , which may have a lot of left-handed hitters or which may have a patient approach at the plate that frustrates him ? Or does this pitcher give up long balls in a particular park? Keep the umpire assignments in mind, as well. Some pitchers will struggle with the strike zone of a some umpire. With 162 regular-season games in an MLB season, finding recent matchup trends can be easier than with other sports, as a pitcher may face the same team a few times each year.
NBA Handicapping Trends: With a 82 game regular season, finding trends for developing an NBA handicapping system appears be an easy process . Having said that, several factors can decide the outcome of an NBA game that you have to be cautious and thorough in finding trends that will work for you.
As NBA teams play teams from their conference three or four times per year, it is tempting to base a handicapping system on head-to-head results from earlier in the season . Even though, many facors can cause an NBA team to change over a period of weeks, such as trades, injuries, and coaching changes. It's tough to rely on results from two months in the past when trying to handicap a given nights rematch.
Sometimes, past results can yield some helpful trends. For example, one team may have a great defensive scheme or player who can shut down another teams star player. Sometimes teams play much better at home than on the road. Some systems look at NBA teams collectively, such as how teams play on the second night of back-to-back games when they win or lose the first game or when they have to hit the road for the second game. Some nba handicappers rely on who's refereeing the game when studying games and hadicapping free nba picks. Some officials do have a history of making a series of unfavorable calls against a certain team, player, or coach. Other referees might not call ticky tack fouls, which may benefit a certain team. Some officials may call a lot of fouls, leading to a lot of free throws, and a high number of points for the total line.
NFL Handicapping Trends: When handicapping NFL games, some bettors rely on trends when predicting free nfl pro football picks. You'll find trends for a wide variety of stats for a single team , including: ATS record as an underdog or favorite, ATS record on grass, turf or in domes, and historical ATS record against a specific opponent.
On the other side, though, some bettors go against such trends when handicapping the NFL. For example, is it really important to the 2009 Giants that they've lost four straight ATS to the Dolphins, if those four games happened from 1993-2005. Because so many bettors rely heavily on such trends they effect the movement of the point spread lines, creating opportunities to wager against the trends.
Other gamblers will judge an NFL handicapping system on injuries, which, again, are mandetory to be reported. If a team has several starters injured , the system calls for a bet against that team. Other systems don't rely on a single team; instead, they look at NFL teams as a whole . For example, a collective system might look at how all NFL teams perform after a bye week or how teams that lost on Monday Night Football do ATS on the following week.
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